What is in this article?:
- World wheat trade up slightly
- World feed use
• The WASDE report made minor adjustments to the world wheat outlook, all of which were within analysts’ expectations.
World feed use
Estimated world feed use increased 900,000 MT this month to 126 MMT, a 12 percent increase from last year and the highest demand for feed since 1990/1991. Total world consumption jumped 2.4 MMT to 677 MMT, which would set a record for the fourth straight year.
World trade estimates increased 2 MMT this month to 137 MMT, the second highest trading volume ever and 5 percent greater than last year, if realized. Increased imports into China, North Africa and Brazil account for much of the increased global demand with the European Union and Russia expected to meet most of that incremental trade.
The U.S. wheat supply and demand outlook remained mostly unchanged from last month. A decrease to production estimates of 240,000 MT to 54.4 MMT was the only change, decreasing ending stocks by the same margin to 22.6 MMT.
USDA re-surveyed spring wheat and durum producers in five states in the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest following the Sept. 30 Small Grains Report. Farmers there harvested a substantial portion of the crop later than usual due to weather-delayed plantings.
The survey results prompted USDA to reduce hard red spring (HRS) production estimates by 190,000 MT to 10.8 MMT and durum by 50,000 MT to 1.36 MMT.
Durum production is estimated at its second lowest level in 30 years, down 53 percent from last year and 43 percent below the 10-year average. Increased white wheat production estimates helped slightly offset reductions in HRS and durum. White wheat estimates increased 30,000 MT to 8.55 MMT, 20 percent greater than the 10-year average thanks to nearly ideal growing conditions.
U.S. Wheat Associates updates its Supply and Demand Report every month with the latest USDA estimates.
The new report is at http://www.uswheat.org/reports.
The full WASDE is available at http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/.