The forecast of all tangerine production is reduced 600,000 boxes to 3.8 million boxes. The early tangerine forecast (Fallglo and Sunburst) is reduced 400,000 boxes to 2.0 million boxes.

The forecast of the later maturing Honey variety is reduced 200,000 boxes to 1.8 million boxes.

The decrease in early tangerines is based on record high droppage and record low sizes for the Sunburst variety.

Projected Honey fruit size is below average while the droppage rate is above average.

The forecast of tangelo production is reduced 100,000 boxes to 1.1 million boxes. Tangelo sizes are below average and droppage is above the maximum and final for the season. Approximately 281 pieces of fruit are required to fill a 1 3/5 bushel box.

The projection for frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) remains 1.61 gallons per box of 42° Brix concentrate.

Last season’s final yield for all oranges was 1.628480 gallons per box, as reported by the Florida Department of Citrus.

Yield projections for the early- midseason and late components will be published in January. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.

Regular bloom fruit samples were collected on Nov. 26-27 from groves on established routes in Florida’s five major citrus producing areas and tested Nov. 28-30. All comparisons are made to Dec. 1, 2011.

Solids (Brix) levels are lower and acid levels are higher for all fruit types resulting in lower ratios. Unfinished juice per box is higher for white and colored grapefruit and lower for all orange types. Solids per box are lower for all orange types but higher for both grapefruit types.

Indian River grapefruit has higher acid and Brix levels resulting in lower ratios when compared to other areas. Unfinished juice per box is lower for white grapefruit and higher for colored grapefruit.

Solids per box are higher for all orange and grapefruit types in the Indian River District when compared to the other areas.