The size of the U.S. corn, cotton and soybean crops declined from last month, while peanut and rice crops got bigger, according to USDA’s Sept. 12 Crop Production report. Meanwhile drought continues to hurt yield potential for Midwest soybeans, while corn yields have fallen to the lowest level in 17 years. USDA also raised its estimate of world cotton ending stocks by 2 million bales and projected record soybean yields for Mississippi and Arkansas.


Cotton production is forecast at 17.1 million bales, down 3 percent from last month, but up 10 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 786 pounds per harvested acre, down 4 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 16.5 million bales, up 12 percent from 2011. Pima cotton production, forecast at 657,000 bales, is down 23 percent from last year.

According to USDA, estimated cotton yields declined from last month in four U.S. states, Arkansas, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. Estimated yield was higher than last month in 10 states including Florida, which reported an increase of 194 pounds, from 857 pounds to 1,051 pounds.

According to USDA’s Sept. 12 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, domestic cotton mill use is unchanged from last month, but exports are slightly lower due to lower U.S. production and a reduction in total world imports. Ending stocks are estimated at 5.3 million bales, equivalent to 35 percent of total use.

USDA increased the estimate of world cotton ending stocks by nearly 2 million bales and are now projected at 76.5 million bales. Projected world stocks include 35.5 million bales for China.


Corn production is forecast at 10.7 billion bushels, down less than 1 percent from the August forecast and down 13 percent from 2011. This represents the lowest production in the United States since 2006.